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Plurality favors GOP’s Corwin in special election for Congress

The plurality of respondents to this week’s RBJ Daily Report Snap Poll favors Republican Jane Corwin, a member of the state Assembly, in the May 24 special election in the 26th Congressional District.
The election was called after Republican Christopher Lee resigned abruptly in February.
Democrat Kathleen Hochul, the Erie County clerk, was a close second in the poll results with 41 percent support to 45 percent for Corwin.
Business owner Jack Davis-a former Republican who has sought the seat three times as a Democrat and now is running on the Tea Party line-was backed by 10 percent of the poll respondents. And 4 percent favored Ian Murphy, the Green Party candidate.
The 26th Congressional District includes all of Genesee, Livingston and Wyoming counties and parts of Erie, Monroe, Niagara and Orleans counties.
Among the 35 percent of respondents who identified themselves as eligible to vote in the 26th District, 48 percent said they favored Corwin. Hochul was favored by 36 percent, Davis by 13 percent and Murphy by 3 percent.
As of April, there were 407,148 active registered voters in the 26th District. Forty percent are registered Republicans, 33 percent Democrats and the rest are non-affiliated/other.
In this poll, 76 percent of Republicans picked Corwin, while 80 percent of Democrats chose Hochul.
Among the non-affiliated/other respondents, the plurality-46 percent-chose Hochul, with Corwin receiving 37 percent, Davis 10 percent and Murphy 7 percent.
More than 620 readers participated in this week’s poll, which was conducted May 16 and 17.

Whom do you favor in the May 24 special election in the 26th Congressional District?
Jane Corwin (Republican): 45%
Kathleen Hochul (Democrat): 41%
Jack Davis (Tea Party): 10%
Ian Murphy (Green Party): 4%

Are you registered to vote in the 26th Congressional District?
No: 65%
Yes: 35%

What is your political affiliation?
Republican: 39%
Non-affiliated: 29%
Democrat: 27%
Other: 5%

Among those registered to vote in the 26th Congressional District:
Jane Corwin (Republican): 48%
Kathleen Hochul (Democrat): 36%
Jack Davis (Tea Party): 13%
Ian Murphy (Green Party): 3%

Among Republicans:
Jane Corwin: 76%
Jack Davis: 12%
Kathleen Hochul: 10%
Ian Murphy: 2%

Among Democrats:
Kathleen Hochul: 80%
Jane Corwin: 11%
Jack Davis: 8%
Ian Murphy: 2%

Among non-affiliated/other:
Kathleen Hochul: 46%
Jane Corwin: 37%
Jack Davis: 10%
Ian Murphy: 7 %

Here are comments from readers:

I think everyone will benefit from having someone in Congress who actually understands what it takes to run a small business. Big Business and Big Labor have more than their share of representation. Hochul will just be another foot soldier for (House Minority Leader) Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). Davis isn’t really endorsed by most of the Tea Party groups in his district.
  -Dennis Ditch, Delta Square
As a member of a middle-class working family, why would I want to vote for someone who is on the side of helping corporations and not helping small business and families like mine? Kathy Hochul has a proven record of going against her party line to help her constituents.
  -Steve Lipson
Ms. Hochul is a liberal in the mold of Pelosi and (Senate Majority Leader Harry) Reid (D-Nev.). Davis is an opportunist-a "horse of a different color." Murphy is simply a greener who would kill jobs if a rare species of flea might exist where jobs could be built. Ms. Corwin is pro-business and looks to tax cuts as a way to stimulate growth; she alone would understand the rhetorical question, "Who is John Galt?"
  -Michael F. Kloppel, chairman, Ontario County Conservative Party
Kathy Hochul is a traditional tax-and-spend, big government liberal. Jack Davis is an angry businessman with no clue about politics in the Ross Perot tradition; he can serve only as a spoiler for Corwin and to elect Hochul. I’m disappointed with Jane Corwin’s campaign and disgusted with the way the local media have covered it, but on the issues she’s the only pro-business, pro-taxpayer candidate in the race.
  -Bob Sarbane, self-employed
None of them deserve a vote. They have all resorted to negative, fear advertising rather than tell us what they stand for and what they bring to the office. Smoke and mirrors to distract us from their selfish and greedy motivations. I’ll do a write-in vote just to cast a ballot.
  -Jim Bassett
There isn’t a Democrat candidate who deserves to be elected as long as the current leadership in Washington is in place. The Democrat leadership has been largely responsible for the fiscal mess we are in and needs to be changed.
  -Dave Coriale, Webster

Jack Davis is no true Tea Party candidate. A charlatan flying under false colors perhaps. He does not represent Tea Party values of individual freedom, limited government and fiscal responsibility. Corwin is the only one with legitimate experience in fiscal matters to understand the simplicity of what must be done. Stop spending.
  -Bill Simpson, Victor
Corwin for sure. Davis is a wannabe, and Hochul has made a mess in Erie County. She’s the last thing we need in Congress.
  -Jim Duke, Victor

For more comments, go to rbjdaily.com.  To participate in the weekly RBJ Snap Poll, sign up for the Daily Report at staging.rbj.net/dailyreport.

5/20/11 (c) 2011 Rochester Business Journal. To obtain permission to reprint this article, call 585-546-8303 or e-mail rbj@rbj.net.



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